Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 3.569221 3.795010 4.034159 4.307421 4.612385 4.943868 5.333613
2025-10-12 3.250536 3.575595 3.940206 4.384041 4.916137 5.542161 6.347916
2025-10-19 3.049567 3.431102 3.876016 4.442344 5.158163 6.053842 7.296253
2025-10-26 2.880420 3.295670 3.794307 4.451443 5.318145 6.460054 8.152147
2025-11-02 2.710378 3.140015 3.667405 4.381215 5.354797 6.692681 8.789996
2025-11-09 2.553160 2.986696 3.528136 4.276725 5.326084 6.819907 9.279336
2025-11-16 2.435062 2.873962 3.430901 4.216426 5.346720 7.012293 9.894157
2025-11-23 2.365162 2.817832 3.402079 4.244094 5.491117 7.401961 10.907149
2025-11-30 2.298042 2.760653 3.366798 4.257521 5.612098 7.765724 11.949729
2025-12-07 2.189090 2.642329 3.241388 4.131758 5.507238 7.743470 12.246829
2025-12-14 2.099903 2.546579 3.142060 4.037176 5.442019 7.778696 12.664927
2025-12-21 2.037299 2.483949 3.085311 4.001202 5.465571 7.968546 13.450666
2025-12-28 1.986681 2.437133 3.050538 3.999096 5.549168 8.286786 14.638889
2026-01-04 1.959819 2.421981 3.060033 4.065261 5.753215 8.861663 16.653382
2026-01-11 1.930534 2.401814 3.060659 4.116683 5.935915 9.424601 18.888099
2026-01-18 1.891180 2.365584 3.035567 4.124712 6.041433 9.846520 20.928844
2026-01-25 1.835522 2.303997 2.969984 4.062693 6.013065 9.976665 22.114395
2026-02-01 1.775135 2.233689 2.888620 3.970276 5.920578 9.952038 22.770238
2026-02-08 1.728262 2.181455 2.832549 3.916865 5.897450 10.082723 24.074632
2026-02-15 1.703800 2.160849 2.823470 3.941379 6.025342 10.587486 27.180814
2026-02-22 1.677540 2.136650 2.807716 3.953272 6.129169 11.053784 30.538476
2026-03-01 1.622910 2.069198 2.722813 3.841773 5.976931 10.849468 30.551013
2026-03-08 1.577182 2.013868 2.655235 3.757752 5.875533 10.766903 31.191034